The unfolding of the Russian invasion of Ukraine has yielded many surprises. The poor performance of the Russian army in terms of tactics, logistics, and battlefield C3ISR has put invading forces in a disadvantageous position. The war's dragging has changed the strategic situation in ways that Russian President Putin likely did not calculate for and offered valuable strategic opportunities for the U.S. to significantly weaken Russia's comprehensive national power. After this invasion, Russia will lose much of its influence and isolate itself from Western countries — at least for a period of time. For its part, China will be dragged into the power vacuum created by Russia, and the U.S. will perceive China as a rival, like Russia, to the world. From the Chinese perspective, China will avoid becoming another Russia and will not fall into what Beijing regards as a trap set by the U.S. In the Taiwan Strait, Russia's painful experience in Ukraine will make Chinese leader Xi Jinping reluctant to use force to accomplish his goals over Taiwan.